Preston North End 1-2 Stoke City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 9 Mar 2024

Preston North End
1-2 HT 0-0
Stoke City
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Preston North End vs Stoke City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.46
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
4.84
6+ Goals
9%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.73
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.75
X/1
9%
5.08
X/2
9%
5.61
X/X
14%
3.8
2/1
10%
33.5
2/2
19%
4.29
2/X
6%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.4pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.9pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.8pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Preston North End v Stoke City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Preston North End EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Stoke City EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -21%
1.14/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.22
-3% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
271 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 75%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
19.3 Crosses 19.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1

Preston North End vs Stoke City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Preston North End
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Stoke City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.70 xG 1.22
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
228 Passes 308
66% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.09.2023 Stoke City Stoke City 0-2 HT 0-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
02.01.2023 Stoke City Stoke City 0-1 HT 0-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
15.10.2022 Preston North End Preston North End 0-2 HT 0-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
03.01.2022 Stoke City Stoke City 1-2 HT 0-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
28.09.2021 Preston North End Preston North End 1-1 HT 1-1 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
17.04.2021 Stoke City Stoke City 0-0 HT 0-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL

Preston North End 1-2 Stoke City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Preston North End
1-2
AWAY Stoke City
0.36 xG 1.43
57% Ball Possession 43%
4 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 6
292 Passes 183
68% Pass Accuracy 56%
23 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Preston North End vs Stoke City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stoke City nicked a narrow win over Preston North End 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Stoke City found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Preston North End had 57% of the ball to Stoke City's 43%, shots finished 4-13, expected goals 0.36 to 1.43.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Preston North End had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Preston North End and 0.67 for Stoke City.

What was the final score of Preston North End vs Stoke City?

Preston North End 1-2 Stoke City in the England - Championship on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Preston North End vs Stoke City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Preston North End win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Preston North End 38%, draw 28%, Stoke City 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Preston North End) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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