Blackburn Rovers 1-1 Plymouth Argyle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 9 Mar 2024

Blackburn Rovers
1-1 HT 1-0
Plymouth Argyle
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Blackburn Rovers vs Plymouth Argyle Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.84
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.19
6+ Goals
9%
10.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.84 — our 30% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.46
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
21%
4.4
X/2
7%
8.16
X/X
14%
5.1
2/1
7%
22.7
2/2
17%
5.85
2/X
6%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-5.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+4.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.1pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Blackburn Rovers v Plymouth Argyle — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blackburn Rovers EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Plymouth Argyle EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.44/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.67
-2% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
394 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 75%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
17.7 Crosses 10.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2

Blackburn Rovers vs Plymouth Argyle Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blackburn Rovers
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Plymouth Argyle
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.76 xG 1.30
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 4
420 Passes 273
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
50 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.09.2023 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 3-0 HT 1-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
03.02.2018 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 2-0 HT 2-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İN1
17.10.2017 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-1 HT 1-1 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İN1

Blackburn Rovers 1-1 Plymouth Argyle — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blackburn Rovers
1-1
AWAY Plymouth Argyle
1.25 xG 2.18
29% Ball Possession 71%
8 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 5
156 Passes 539
60% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Box Touches 27
8 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Blackburn Rovers vs Plymouth Argyle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blackburn Rovers and Plymouth Argyle couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Blackburn Rovers at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Blackburn Rovers had 29% of the ball to Plymouth Argyle's 71%, shots finished 8-21, expected goals 1.25 to 2.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Plymouth Argyle led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Blackburn Rovers and 2.00 for Plymouth Argyle.

What was the final score of Blackburn Rovers vs Plymouth Argyle?

Blackburn Rovers 1-1 Plymouth Argyle in the England - Championship on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blackburn Rovers vs Plymouth Argyle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blackburn Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Blackburn Rovers 45%, draw 26%, Plymouth Argyle 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Blackburn Rovers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Blackburn Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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