Cardiff City 2-1 Ipswich Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.04
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
50%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.88
No
62%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.12
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
3.76
6+ Goals
10%
15.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 35% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
7.41
1/2
8%
24.45
1/X
5%
15.8
X/1
9%
9.22
X/2
13%
3.91
X/X
13%
4.81
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
29%
2.26
2/X
5%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+4.7pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
50%
Away Win
54%
-3.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
49%
-11.3pp
62%
BTTS No
51%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff City EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Ipswich Town EU Bookmakers 57%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.70/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.00
-14% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +15%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
224 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 79%
14.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.3
17.5 Crosses 20.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cardiff City
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ipswich Town
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.50 xG 1.82
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
199 Passes 309
62% Pass Accuracy 70%
25 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 3-2 HT 0-1 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
21.02.2018 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
31.10.2017 Cardiff City Cardiff City 3-1 HT 1-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
18.03.2017 Cardiff City Cardiff City 3-1 HT 1-1 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
10.12.2016 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
12.03.2016 Cardiff City Cardiff City 1-0 HT 1-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cardiff City
2-1
AWAY Ipswich Town
2.44 xG 0.59
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
310 Passes 444
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 14
27 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cardiff City vs Ipswich Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cardiff City nicked a narrow win over Ipswich Town 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ipswich Town at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cardiff City had 43% of the ball to Ipswich Town's 57%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 2.44 to 0.59 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cardiff City's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cardiff City had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Cardiff City and 1.00 for Ipswich Town.

What was the final score of Cardiff City vs Ipswich Town?

Cardiff City 2-1 Ipswich Town in the England - Championship on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff City vs Ipswich Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ipswich Town win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Cardiff City 26%, draw 24%, Ipswich Town 50%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ipswich Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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