Queens Park Rangers 0-2 Middlesbrough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.89
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.04
6+ Goals
9%
18.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.23
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.85
X/1
14%
4.74
X/2
14%
6.06
X/X
13%
4.37
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
13%
4.54
2/X
6%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queens Park Rangers EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Middlesbrough EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
1.34/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.14
-9% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
276 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 72%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
23.5 Crosses 17.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queens Park Rangers
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Middlesbrough
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.88 xG 1.78
44% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
277 Passes 370
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.09.2023 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 0-2 HT 0-1 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
18.02.2023 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 3-1 HT 0-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
06.08.2022 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 3-2 HT 3-1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
09.02.2022 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 2-2 HT 1-1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
18.08.2021 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 2-3 HT 1-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
17.04.2021 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 1-2 HT 1-2 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Queens Park Rangers
0-2
AWAY Middlesbrough
0.61 xG 0.50
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 3
460 Passes 272
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 13
27 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Queens Park Rangers vs Middlesbrough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Middlesbrough got the better of Queens Park Rangers 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Queens Park Rangers at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Queens Park Rangers had 61% of the ball to Middlesbrough's 39%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 0.61 to 0.50.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queens Park Rangers had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Queens Park Rangers and 1.67 for Middlesbrough.

What was the final score of Queens Park Rangers vs Middlesbrough?

Queens Park Rangers 0-2 Middlesbrough in the England - Championship on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queens Park Rangers vs Middlesbrough?

Before kick-off our model rated a Queens Park Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Queens Park Rangers 41%, draw 27%, Middlesbrough 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Queens Park Rangers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Queens Park Rangers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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