Mainz 05 II 1-3 Sandhausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 21 Apr 2026

📅21/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.0
Over 2.5
57%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.0pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
46%
-3.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
54%
+3.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.5pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mainz 05 II EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandhausen EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.51/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.62
-11% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mainz 05 II
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sandhausen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
18.10.2025 Sandhausen Sandhausen 2-2 HT 0-1 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Mainz 05 II vs Sandhausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sandhausen saw off Mainz 05 II 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Mainz 05 II at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Mainz 05 II vs Sandhausen?

Mainz 05 II 1-3 Sandhausen in the Germany - Regional League on 21/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mainz 05 II vs Sandhausen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mainz 05 II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 II 46%, draw 23%, Sandhausen 32%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mainz 05 II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mainz 05 II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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