Nürnberg II 4-1 Bayern München II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 21 Apr 2026

📅21/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.56
No
37%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
13%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-3.7pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.4pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-0.7pp
63%
BTTS Yes
60%
+2.8pp
37%
BTTS No
40%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nürnberg II EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern München II EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
2.42/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.30
+24% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / +43%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
393 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 21.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nürnberg II
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bayern München II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.11 xG 1.65
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
258 Passes 398
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2025 Bayern München II Bayern München II 0-3 HT 0-1 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
15.11.2024 Bayern München II Bayern München II 4-0 HT 3-0 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
02.08.2024 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 1-2 HT 1-0 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
02.04.2024 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 2-0 HT 0-0 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
11.08.2023 Bayern München II Bayern München II 2-2 HT 2-1 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
17.05.2023 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 1-3 HT 1-1 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Nürnberg II vs Bayern München II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nürnberg II cruised past Bayern München II 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nürnberg II as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern München II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nürnberg II and 1.83 for Bayern München II.

What was the final score of Nürnberg II vs Bayern München II?

Nürnberg II 4-1 Bayern München II in the Germany - Regional League on 21/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nürnberg II vs Bayern München II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nürnberg II win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Nürnberg II 53%, draw 27%, Bayern München II 20%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nürnberg II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nürnberg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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