Botafogo 1-0 Chapecoense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 21 Apr 2026

Botafogo
1-0 HT 0-0
Chapecoense
📅21/04/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Brazil - Cup – 2026

Botafogo vs Chapecoense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.43
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
65%
-7.6pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.4pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+5.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.7pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Botafogo v Chapecoense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botafogo EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Chapecoense EU Bookmakers 17%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.33/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.60
-29% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +147%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
414 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 75%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.7
20.0 Crosses 17.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0

Botafogo vs Chapecoense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botafogo
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Chapecoense
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.90 xG 1.08
52% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
345 Passes 298
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.04.2026 Chapecoense Chapecoense 1-4 HT 1-3 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
28.11.2019 Chapecoense Chapecoense 0-1 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
27.08.2019 Botafogo Botafogo 0-0 HT 0-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR1
15.11.2018 Chapecoense Chapecoense 0-1 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
27.07.2018 Botafogo Botafogo 1-0 HT 0-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR1
12.10.2017 Botafogo Botafogo 2-1 HT 0-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR1

Botafogo 1-0 Chapecoense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botafogo
1-0
AWAY Chapecoense
1.72 xG 0.54
68% Ball Possession 32%
20 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 5
484 Passes 202
87% Pass Accuracy 75%
44 Box Touches 11
34 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Botafogo vs Chapecoense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botafogo squeezed past Chapecoense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Botafogo as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Botafogo had 68% of the ball to Chapecoense's 32%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 1.72 to 0.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botafogo had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Botafogo and 0.33 for Chapecoense.

What was the final score of Botafogo vs Chapecoense?

Botafogo 1-0 Chapecoense in the Brazil - Cup on 21/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botafogo vs Chapecoense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Botafogo 57%, draw 23%, Chapecoense 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botafogo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Botafogo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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