Botafogo vs Chapecoense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Botafogo v Chapecoense — Team-Based Signals
Botafogo vs Chapecoense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Botafogo 1-0 Chapecoense — Actual Match Statistics
Botafogo shaded a tight game against Chapecoense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Botafogo as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 49% and both teams to score at 46%, coin-flips both.
By the numbers, Botafogo had 68% of the ball to Chapecoense's 32%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 1.72 to 0.54.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botafogo had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Botafogo and 0.33 for Chapecoense.
Botafogo vs Chapecoense Result & Final Score
Botafogo 1 - 0 Chapecoense in the Brazil - Cup on 21/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Botafogo vs Chapecoense Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Botafogo 67%, draw 20%, Chapecoense 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botafogo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.