Chapecoense vs Botafogo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Chapecoense v Botafogo — Team-Based Signals
Chapecoense vs Botafogo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Chapecoense 1-4 Botafogo — Actual Match Statistics
Botafogo swept aside Chapecoense 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Botafogo as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 49% for over 2.5, 54% on both teams scoring.
On the day, Chapecoense had 49% of the ball to Botafogo's 51%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.26 to 1.03.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botafogo led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Chapecoense and 1.17 for Botafogo.
Chapecoense vs Botafogo Result & Final Score
Chapecoense 1 - 4 Botafogo in the Brazil - Serie A on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Chapecoense vs Botafogo Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Chapecoense 25%, draw 28%, Botafogo 47%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botafogo), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.