Cruzeiro vs Gremio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cruzeiro v Gremio — Team-Based Signals
Cruzeiro vs Gremio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Cruzeiro
BR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Gremio
BRK
Cruzeiro 2-0 Gremio — Actual Match Statistics
Cruzeiro saw off Gremio 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cruzeiro as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Cruzeiro had 41% of the ball to Gremio's 59%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.84 to 0.47.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruzeiro had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cruzeiro and 1.00 for Gremio.
What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Gremio?
Cruzeiro 2-0 Gremio in the Brazil - Serie A on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cruzeiro vs Gremio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cruzeiro win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Cruzeiro 53%, draw 23%, Gremio 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruzeiro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.