Gremio vs Cruzeiro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gremio v Cruzeiro — Team-Based Signals
Gremio vs Cruzeiro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Cruzeiro
BR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Gremio
BRK
1-1
HT 0-1
Cruzeiro
BRK
Gremio 0-1 Cruzeiro — Actual Match Statistics
Cruzeiro squeezed past Gremio 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Cruzeiro found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Gremio had 57% of the ball to Cruzeiro's 43%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.47 to 0.81 — on chances, Gremio could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gremio and 1.33 for Cruzeiro.
What was the final score of Gremio vs Cruzeiro?
Gremio 0-1 Cruzeiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 06/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gremio vs Cruzeiro?
Before kick-off our model rated an Cruzeiro win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gremio 35%, draw 26%, Cruzeiro 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruzeiro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.