Gremio vs Cruzeiro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Gremio v Cruzeiro — Team-Based Signals
Gremio vs Cruzeiro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Gremio 0-1 Cruzeiro — Actual Match Statistics
Cruzeiro shaded a tight game against Gremio 1-0 on the road.
As we said in the preview, our model had Cruzeiro as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
By the numbers, Gremio had 57% of the ball to Cruzeiro's 43%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.47 to 0.81 — by the quality of chances, Gremio deserved more.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gremio and 1.33 for Cruzeiro.
Gremio vs Cruzeiro Result & Final Score
Gremio 0 - 1 Cruzeiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 06/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Gremio vs Cruzeiro Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Cruzeiro win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gremio 30%, draw 29%, Cruzeiro 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruzeiro), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.