Sao Paulo 2-2 Flamengo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 6 Nov 2025

📅06/11/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
46%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.48
Over 2.5
45%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.27
No
49%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.13
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.53
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.61
1/2
7%
32.5
1/X
5%
16.7
X/1
10%
7.83
X/2
11%
4.15
X/X
13%
3.71
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
28%
2.74
2/X
8%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+4.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.0pp
46%
Away Win
48%
-2.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
64%
-9.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
36%
+9.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
40%
+11.0pp
49%
BTTS No
60%
-11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sao Paulo EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Flamengo EU Bookmakers 52%
-11% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
1.18/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.21
-17% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -18%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 82%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
16.5 Crosses 16.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sao Paulo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Flamengo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.65 xG 1.11
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
355 Passes 379
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.07.2025 Flamengo Flamengo 2-0 HT 0-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
19.01.2025 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 0-0 HT 0-0 Flamengo Flamengo HAZ
04.08.2024 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 1-0 HT 0-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
18.04.2024 Flamengo Flamengo 2-1 HT 1-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
07.12.2023 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 1-0 HT 1-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
24.09.2023 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 1-1 HT 1-1 Flamengo Flamengo BRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sao Paulo
2-2
AWAY Flamengo
0.82 xG 1.76
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
342 Passes 394
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sao Paulo vs Flamengo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sao Paulo and Flamengo shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Flamengo at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sao Paulo had 47% of the ball to Flamengo's 53%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 0.82 to 1.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sao Paulo and 0.83 for Flamengo.

What was the final score of Sao Paulo vs Flamengo?

Sao Paulo 2-2 Flamengo in the Brazil - Serie A on 06/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sao Paulo vs Flamengo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sao Paulo 27%, draw 27%, Flamengo 46%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Flamengo), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Flamengo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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