Botafogo 3-0 Vasco da Gama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 6 Nov 2025

📅06/11/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.76
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.0
Over 2.5
58%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.7
No
41%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.69
2-3 Goals
36%
1.81
4-5 Goals
27%
3.13
6+ Goals
12%
10.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.31
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.2
X/1
19%
4.49
X/2
9%
9.03
X/X
9%
5.2
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
22.7
2/2
9%
6.82
2/X
6%
14.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 11% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+1.9pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.2pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
46%
-4.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
54%
+4.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
55%
+3.7pp
41%
BTTS No
45%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botafogo EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Vasco da Gama EU Bookmakers 26%
-2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.48/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.40
+21% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
310 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
21.3 Crosses 18.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botafogo
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Vasco da Gama
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.55 xG 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
373 Passes 368
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.09.2025 Botafogo Botafogo 1-1 HT 1-1 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BRK
28.08.2025 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 1-1 HT 1-1 Botafogo Botafogo BRK
13.07.2025 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 0-2 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
06.11.2024 Botafogo Botafogo 3-0 HT 2-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
30.06.2024 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 1-1 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
07.11.2023 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 1-0 HT 1-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botafogo
3-0
AWAY Vasco da Gama
3.24 xG 1.02
51% Ball Possession 49%
23 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 3
394 Passes 386
90% Pass Accuracy 91%
35 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botafogo cruised past Vasco da Gama 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Botafogo as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, Botafogo had 51% of the ball to Vasco da Gama's 49%, shots finished 23-12, expected goals 3.24 to 1.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botafogo had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Botafogo and 0.67 for Vasco da Gama.

What was the final score of Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama?

Botafogo 3-0 Vasco da Gama in the Brazil - Serie A on 06/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Botafogo 54%, draw 21%, Vasco da Gama 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botafogo), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Botafogo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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