Vasco da Gama vs Botafogo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vasco da Gama v Botafogo — Team-Based Signals
Vasco da Gama vs Botafogo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Botafogo
BR1
2-0
HT 0-0
Vasco da Gama
BR1
2-0
HT 0-0
Botafogo
BRC1
Vasco da Gama 1-1 Botafogo — Actual Match Statistics
Vasco da Gama and Botafogo shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.
On the day, Vasco da Gama had 54% of the ball to Botafogo's 46%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 2.50 to 0.53.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botafogo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Vasco da Gama and 1.33 for Botafogo.
What was the final score of Vasco da Gama vs Botafogo?
Vasco da Gama 1-1 Botafogo in the Brazil - Cup on 28/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vasco da Gama vs Botafogo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vasco da Gama win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Vasco da Gama 40%, draw 28%, Botafogo 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vasco da Gama), BTTS No went the other way.