Vasco da Gama 0-2 Botafogo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 13 Jul 2025

📅13/07/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.48
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
19%
5.07
6+ Goals
8%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
5.72
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
11%
15.0
X/1
8%
6.94
X/2
13%
4.65
X/X
9%
3.91
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
20%
3.09
2/X
9%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+5.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
40%
Away Win
44%
-3.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.4pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vasco da Gama EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Botafogo EU Bookmakers 48%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
1.29/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.88
+35% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +38%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
287 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 83%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
21.1 Crosses 23.8
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vasco da Gama
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Botafogo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.53 xG 1.15
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
288 Passes 395
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.11.2024 Botafogo Botafogo 3-0 HT 2-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
30.06.2024 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 1-1 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
07.11.2023 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 1-0 HT 1-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
02.07.2023 Botafogo Botafogo 2-0 HT 0-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
17.02.2023 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 2-0 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo BRC1
14.02.2022 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 0-1 HT 0-1 Botafogo Botafogo BRC1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vasco da Gama
0-2
AWAY Botafogo
0.56 xG 3.33
66% Ball Possession 34%
11 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
606 Passes 288
91% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 30
25 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vasco da Gama vs Botafogo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botafogo got the better of Vasco da Gama 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 40%) promised a tight game; Botafogo found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Vasco da Gama had 66% of the ball to Botafogo's 34%, shots finished 11-21, expected goals 0.56 to 3.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botafogo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Vasco da Gama and 1.17 for Botafogo.

What was the final score of Vasco da Gama vs Botafogo?

Vasco da Gama 0-2 Botafogo in the Brazil - Serie A on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vasco da Gama vs Botafogo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Vasco da Gama 32%, draw 28%, Botafogo 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botafogo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Botafogo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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