Bahia vs Atletico Mineiro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bahia v Atletico Mineiro — Team-Based Signals
Bahia vs Atletico Mineiro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 2-1
Atletico Mineiro
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Bahia
BR1
2-3
HT 0-0
Atletico Mineiro
BR1
2-1
HT 2-0
Atletico Mineiro
BRK
Bahia 2-1 Atletico Mineiro — Actual Match Statistics
Bahia edged past Atletico Mineiro 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Bahia found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Bahia had 47% of the ball to Atletico Mineiro's 53%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 0.67 to 0.34.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bahia had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bahia and 1.17 for Atletico Mineiro.
What was the final score of Bahia vs Atletico Mineiro?
Bahia 2-1 Atletico Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bahia vs Atletico Mineiro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bahia win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bahia 40%, draw 27%, Atletico Mineiro 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bahia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.