Atletico Mineiro 0-2 Cruzeiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 28 Aug 2025

📅28/08/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.45
Over 2.5
40%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.16
No
52%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.0
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.93
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.97
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.15
X/1
16%
5.17
X/2
13%
5.64
X/X
16%
3.29
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
13%
4.53
2/X
9%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+1.9pp
30%
Draw
32%
-2.6pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.8pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Mineiro EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Cruzeiro EU Bookmakers 34%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.06/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.20
-97% / +101% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
20.1 Crosses 16.3
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Mineiro
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Cruzeiro
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
0.66 xG 1.09
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
340 Passes 301
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.05.2025 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
19.01.2025 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro HAZ
11.08.2024 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
21.04.2024 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 3-0 HT 3-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
22.10.2023 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 0-1 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
04.06.2023 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Mineiro
0-2
AWAY Cruzeiro
0.61 xG 0.74
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
342 Passes 197
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
27 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Mineiro vs Cruzeiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cruzeiro got the better of Atletico Mineiro 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Cruzeiro found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Atletico Mineiro had 60% of the ball to Cruzeiro's 40%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.61 to 0.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Mineiro had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Atletico Mineiro and 0.17 for Cruzeiro.

What was the final score of Atletico Mineiro vs Cruzeiro?

Atletico Mineiro 0-2 Cruzeiro in the Brazil - Cup on 28/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Mineiro vs Cruzeiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Atletico Mineiro 38%, draw 30%, Cruzeiro 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Mineiro) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Mineiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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