Cruzeiro 0-0 Atletico Mineiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.33
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.19
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.28
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
14%
4.67
X/2
11%
6.49
X/X
15%
3.58
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
14%
5.24
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.0pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.9pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.7pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cruzeiro EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Mineiro EU Bookmakers 31%
+4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
1.42/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.19
+4% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
26.3 Crosses 18.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cruzeiro
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Atletico Mineiro
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.32 xG 1.01
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
345 Passes 309
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
21.04.2024 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 3-0 HT 3-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
22.10.2023 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 0-1 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
04.06.2023 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
14.02.2023 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BRM1
02.04.2022 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 3-1 HT 1-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BRM1
07.03.2022 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 2-1 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BRMI1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cruzeiro
0-0
AWAY Atletico Mineiro
0.31 xG 0.69
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
239 Passes 498
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cruzeiro vs Atletico Mineiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cruzeiro and Atletico Mineiro played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Cruzeiro had 35% of the ball to Atletico Mineiro's 65%, shots finished 6-12, expected goals 0.31 to 0.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Mineiro led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cruzeiro and 1.67 for Atletico Mineiro.

What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Atletico Mineiro?

Cruzeiro 0-0 Atletico Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cruzeiro vs Atletico Mineiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cruzeiro win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cruzeiro 40%, draw 29%, Atletico Mineiro 31%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cruzeiro) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cruzeiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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