Juventude vs Botafogo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Juventude v Botafogo — Team-Based Signals
Juventude vs Botafogo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-0
Botafogo
BR1
1-1
HT 0-0
Juventude
BR1
2-1
HT 0-1
Botafogo
BRK
1-1
HT 0-1
Juventude
BRK
1-1
HT 0-1
Botafogo
BR1
Juventude 3-2 Botafogo — Actual Match Statistics
Juventude squeezed past Botafogo 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Botafogo at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Juventude had 37% of the ball to Botafogo's 63%, shots finished 16-24, expected goals 1.85 to 1.82.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Juventude and 1.83 for Botafogo.
What was the final score of Juventude vs Botafogo?
Juventude 3-2 Botafogo in the Brazil - Serie A on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Juventude vs Botafogo?
Before kick-off our model rated an Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Juventude 28%, draw 31%, Botafogo 42%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.