Sao Paulo vs Atletico Goianiense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sao Paulo v Atletico Goianiense — Team-Based Signals
Sao Paulo vs Atletico Goianiense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Atletico Goianiense
BR1
2-0
HT 1-0
Atletico Goianiense
CON CSA
3-1
HT 1-1
Sao Paulo
CON CSA
1-2
HT 1-1
Sao Paulo
BR1
2-1
HT 1-0
Atletico Goianiense
BR1
Sao Paulo 1-0 Atletico Goianiense — Actual Match Statistics
Sao Paulo squeezed past Atletico Goianiense 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Sao Paulo as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.
On the day, Sao Paulo had 45% of the ball to Atletico Goianiense's 55%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 2.05 to 0.67 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sao Paulo's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sao Paulo had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sao Paulo and 1.00 for Atletico Goianiense.
What was the final score of Sao Paulo vs Atletico Goianiense?
Sao Paulo 1-0 Atletico Goianiense in the Brazil - Serie A on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sao Paulo vs Atletico Goianiense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Paulo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sao Paulo 42%, draw 29%, Atletico Goianiense 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sao Paulo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.