Corinthians 1-1 Bragantino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.35
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.15
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.09
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.75
X/1
12%
4.48
X/2
14%
6.86
X/X
17%
3.62
2/1
6%
32.0
2/2
9%
5.64
2/X
7%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-6.0pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.2pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.4pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Corinthians EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Bragantino EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -21%
1.32/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.26
-1% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
351 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
23.0 Crosses 20.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Corinthians
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Bragantino
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.60 xG 1.01
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
296 Passes 348
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2024 Bragantino 1-0 HT 1-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
05.11.2023 Bragantino 1-0 HT 1-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
02.07.2023 Corinthians Corinthians 0-1 HT 0-1 Bragantino BR1
15.01.2023 Bragantino 1-0 HT 0-0 Corinthians Corinthians BREPAU
30.08.2022 Corinthians Corinthians 1-0 HT 1-0 Bragantino BR1
09.05.2022 Bragantino 0-1 HT 0-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Corinthians
1-1
AWAY Bragantino
1.38 xG 1.21
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
406 Passes 202
84% Pass Accuracy 69%
29 Box Touches 10
37 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Corinthians vs Bragantino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Corinthians and Bragantino couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Corinthians had 62% of the ball to Bragantino's 38%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 1.38 to 1.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bragantino led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Corinthians and 0.67 for Bragantino.

What was the final score of Corinthians vs Bragantino?

Corinthians 1-1 Bragantino in the Brazil - Serie A on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Corinthians vs Bragantino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Corinthians 38%, draw 31%, Bragantino 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Corinthians), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Corinthians) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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