Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vasco da Gama v Fluminense — Team-Based Signals
Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-2
HT 1-0
Fluminense
BR1
1-1
HT 0-1
Vasco da Gama
BR1
2-0
HT 0-0
Vasco da Gama
BRC1
2-0
HT 2-0
Vasco da Gama
BRC1
1-1
HT 0-1
Vasco da Gama
BRC1
Vasco da Gama 2-0 Fluminense — Actual Match Statistics
Vasco da Gama beat Fluminense 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Vasco da Gama found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Vasco da Gama had 43% of the ball to Fluminense's 57%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 1.22 to 0.85.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fluminense led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Vasco da Gama and 1.67 for Fluminense.
What was the final score of Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense?
Vasco da Gama 2-0 Fluminense in the Brazil - Serie A on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vasco da Gama win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Vasco da Gama 39%, draw 26%, Fluminense 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vasco da Gama), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.