Bragantino 2-1 Corinthians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 6 Nov 2025

📅06/11/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
40%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.59
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
4.28
6+ Goals
8%
21.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.59 — our 34% vs market 31.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.03
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
5%
13.8
X/1
11%
5.57
X/2
19%
5.45
X/X
15%
4.11
2/1
10%
32.5
2/2
15%
3.9
2/X
7%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-2.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+3.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bragantino EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Corinthians EU Bookmakers 39%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.27/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.32
+22% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
300 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 81%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
18.7 Crosses 17.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bragantino
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Corinthians
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.14 xG 1.27
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
269 Passes 300
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.07.2025 Corinthians Corinthians 1-2 HT 0-1 Bragantino BR1
21.08.2024 Corinthians Corinthians 1-2 HT 1-0 Bragantino CSA
14.08.2024 Bragantino 1-2 HT 0-2 Corinthians Corinthians CSA
11.08.2024 Corinthians Corinthians 1-1 HT 0-1 Bragantino BR1
21.04.2024 Bragantino 1-0 HT 1-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
05.11.2023 Bragantino 1-0 HT 1-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bragantino
2-1
AWAY Corinthians
2.22 xG 0.64
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
328 Passes 223
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 8
14 Crosses 13
7 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bragantino vs Corinthians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bragantino edged past Corinthians 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Bragantino found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bragantino had 58% of the ball to Corinthians's 42%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 2.22 to 0.64 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Bragantino's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bragantino had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bragantino and 0.83 for Corinthians.

What was the final score of Bragantino vs Corinthians?

Bragantino 2-1 Corinthians in the Brazil - Serie A on 06/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bragantino vs Corinthians?

Before kick-off our model rated an Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bragantino 33%, draw 27%, Corinthians 40%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Corinthians) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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