Bragantino 1-2 Corinthians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 14 Aug 2024

📅14/08/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.48
Over 2.5
33%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.13
No
63%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.15
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
5.85
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.59
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
4%
14.0
X/1
12%
4.81
X/2
16%
6.02
X/X
21%
3.39
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
12%
4.93
2/X
6%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-0.9pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.5pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.4pp
67%
Under 2.5
64%
+3.1pp
33%
Over 2.5
36%
-3.1pp
37%
BTTS Yes
43%
-5.3pp
63%
BTTS No
57%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bragantino EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Corinthians EU Bookmakers 33%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +58% / +58%
2.12/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.90
+103% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
368 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.0
15.0 Crosses 13.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bragantino
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Corinthians
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.12 xG 0.79
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 Passes 308
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2024 Corinthians Corinthians 1-1 HT 0-1 Bragantino BR1
21.04.2024 Bragantino 1-0 HT 1-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
05.11.2023 Bragantino 1-0 HT 1-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
02.07.2023 Corinthians Corinthians 0-1 HT 0-1 Bragantino BR1
15.01.2023 Bragantino 1-0 HT 0-0 Corinthians Corinthians BREPAU
30.08.2022 Corinthians Corinthians 1-0 HT 1-0 Bragantino BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bragantino
1-2
AWAY Corinthians
1.53 xG 1.85
73% Ball Possession 27%
20 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
424 Passes 122
83% Pass Accuracy 62%
21 Box Touches 15
35 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bragantino vs Corinthians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Corinthians edged past Bragantino 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Corinthians found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bragantino had 73% of the ball to Corinthians's 27%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 1.53 to 1.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bragantino had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bragantino and 0.33 for Corinthians.

What was the final score of Bragantino vs Corinthians?

Bragantino 1-2 Corinthians in the Copa Sudamericana on 14/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bragantino vs Corinthians?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bragantino win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bragantino 38%, draw 30%, Corinthians 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bragantino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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