Corinthians 1-2 Bragantino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 14 Jul 2025

📅14/07/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.48
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
5.05
6+ Goals
10%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.72
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.4
X/1
21%
4.36
X/2
6%
8.01
X/X
15%
3.94
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
12%
6.9
2/X
6%
15.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
-0.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+0.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.5pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Corinthians EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Bragantino EU Bookmakers 27%
+7% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +12%
1.36/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.24
+6% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 80%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
22.6 Crosses 19.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Corinthians
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Bragantino
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.98 xG 0.99
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
266 Passes 301
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.08.2024 Corinthians Corinthians 1-2 HT 1-0 Bragantino CSA
14.08.2024 Bragantino 1-2 HT 0-2 Corinthians Corinthians CSA
11.08.2024 Corinthians Corinthians 1-1 HT 0-1 Bragantino BR1
21.04.2024 Bragantino 1-0 HT 1-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
05.11.2023 Bragantino 1-0 HT 1-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
02.07.2023 Corinthians Corinthians 0-1 HT 0-1 Bragantino BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Corinthians
1-2
AWAY Bragantino
2.34 xG 1.78
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 2
461 Passes 261
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 14
6 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Corinthians vs Bragantino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bragantino nicked a narrow win over Corinthians 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Corinthians at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Corinthians had 62% of the ball to Bragantino's 38%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 2.34 to 1.78 — on chances, Corinthians could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bragantino led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Corinthians and 1.17 for Bragantino.

What was the final score of Corinthians vs Bragantino?

Corinthians 1-2 Bragantino in the Brazil - Serie A on 14/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Corinthians vs Bragantino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Corinthians 48%, draw 28%, Bragantino 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Corinthians) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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