Fortaleza vs Ceara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fortaleza v Ceara — Team-Based Signals
Fortaleza vs Ceara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 2-1
Fortaleza
BRCAE1
2-1
HT 1-0
Ceara
BRCAE1
2-3
HT 1-2
Ceara
BRCDN
2-0
HT 2-0
Fortaleza
BRCDN
2-1
HT 2-0
Fortaleza
BRCAE1
0-1
HT 0-1
Fortaleza
BR1
Fortaleza 0-1 Ceara — Actual Match Statistics
Ceara squeezed past Fortaleza 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Fortaleza at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.
On the day, Fortaleza had 60% of the ball to Ceara's 40%, shots finished 13-14.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ceara led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fortaleza and 1.67 for Ceara.
What was the final score of Fortaleza vs Ceara?
Fortaleza 0-1 Ceara in the Brazil - Serie A on 14/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fortaleza vs Ceara?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza 43%, draw 27%, Ceara 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fortaleza) went the other way.