Cruzeiro vs Gremio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cruzeiro v Gremio — Team-Based Signals
Cruzeiro vs Gremio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Cruzeiro
BR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Gremio
BRK
1-1
HT 0-1
Cruzeiro
BRK
1-0
HT 0-0
Gremio
BR1
Cruzeiro 4-1 Gremio — Actual Match Statistics
Cruzeiro ran out comfortable winners over Gremio 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Cruzeiro as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cruzeiro had 46% of the ball to Gremio's 54%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 2.62 to 0.76.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cruzeiro and 1.00 for Gremio.
What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Gremio?
Cruzeiro 4-1 Gremio in the Brazil - Serie A on 14/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cruzeiro vs Gremio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cruzeiro win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Cruzeiro 50%, draw 29%, Gremio 21%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruzeiro) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.