Cruzeiro vs Gremio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cruzeiro v Gremio — Team-Based Signals
Cruzeiro vs Gremio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Cruzeiro
BR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Gremio
BRK
1-1
HT 0-1
Cruzeiro
BRK
1-0
HT 0-0
Gremio
BR1
2-2
HT 1-1
Cruzeiro
BR2
Cruzeiro 1-1 Gremio — Actual Match Statistics
Cruzeiro and Gremio shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match lean was Cruzeiro at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Cruzeiro had 61% of the ball to Gremio's 39%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 1.55 to 0.82.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cruzeiro and 1.17 for Gremio.
What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Gremio?
Cruzeiro 1-1 Gremio in the Brazil - Serie A on 28/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cruzeiro vs Gremio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cruzeiro win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cruzeiro 43%, draw 31%, Gremio 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cruzeiro), BTTS No went the other way.