Corinthians 1-2 Bragantino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 21 Aug 2024

📅21/08/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.27
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.56
Over 2.5
48%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.41
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
4.97
6+ Goals
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.44
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
16%
4.82
X/2
8%
6.11
X/X
12%
3.7
2/1
8%
33.0
2/2
14%
4.82
2/X
8%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
40%
+3.7pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.8pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
60%
-8.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
40%
+8.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Corinthians EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Bragantino EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
Crosses 9.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Corinthians
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Bragantino
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.94 xG 1.21
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
275 Passes 311
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.08.2024 Bragantino 1-2 HT 0-2 Corinthians Corinthians CSA
11.08.2024 Corinthians Corinthians 1-1 HT 0-1 Bragantino BR1
21.04.2024 Bragantino 1-0 HT 1-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
05.11.2023 Bragantino 1-0 HT 1-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
02.07.2023 Corinthians Corinthians 0-1 HT 0-1 Bragantino BR1
15.01.2023 Bragantino 1-0 HT 0-0 Corinthians Corinthians BREPAU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Corinthians
1-2
AWAY Bragantino
0.58 xG 0.77
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
206 Passes 268
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Corinthians vs Bragantino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bragantino nicked a narrow win over Corinthians 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Corinthians at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Corinthians had 45% of the ball to Bragantino's 55%, shots finished 13-18, expected goals 0.58 to 0.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bragantino led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Corinthians and 1.00 for Bragantino.

What was the final score of Corinthians vs Bragantino?

Corinthians 1-2 Bragantino in the Copa Sudamericana on 21/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Corinthians vs Bragantino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Corinthians 44%, draw 28%, Bragantino 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Corinthians) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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