Racing Club 6-1 Huachipato — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 21 Aug 2024

📅21/08/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.29
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
19%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.54
2-3 Goals
42%
1.9
4-5 Goals
20%
2.89
6+ Goals
10%
8.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.54 — our 28% vs market 17.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.46
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
24.45
X/1
18%
3.39
X/2
5%
21.85
X/X
10%
7.82
2/1
8%
24.0
2/2
9%
17.7
2/X
6%
24.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
73%
-12.5pp
21%
Draw
17%
+3.5pp
19%
Away Win
10%
+9.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.9pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Club EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Huachipato EU Bookmakers 12%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
0.50/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.57
-78% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +36%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
407 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 68%
37.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
31.5 Crosses
4.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Club
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Huachipato
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.02 xG 0.34
49% Ball Possession 51%
19 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 0
289 Passes 310
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
30 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
14.08.2024 Huachipato Huachipato 0-2 HT 0-1 Racing Club Racing Club CSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Club
6-1
AWAY Huachipato
3.58 xG 1.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
25 Total Shots 8
12 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
376 Passes 294
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
37 Box Touches 11
10 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Racing Club vs Huachipato
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Club swept aside Huachipato 6-1. Half-time: 4-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Racing Club as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Racing Club had 55% of the ball to Huachipato's 45%, shots finished 25-8, expected goals 3.58 to 1.67.

What was the final score of Racing Club vs Huachipato?

Racing Club 6-1 Huachipato in the Copa Sudamericana on 21/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Club vs Huachipato?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Club win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Racing Club 61%, draw 21%, Huachipato 19%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Club), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Racing Club) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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