Atletico Mineiro vs Bahia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Mineiro v Bahia — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Mineiro vs Bahia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 2-1
Atletico Mineiro
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Bahia
BR1
2-3
HT 0-0
Atletico Mineiro
BR1
Atletico Mineiro 3-0 Bahia — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Mineiro ran out comfortable winners over Bahia 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Atletico Mineiro as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Atletico Mineiro had 61% of the ball to Bahia's 39%, shots finished 23-12, expected goals 1.09 to 0.72.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bahia led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atletico Mineiro and 2.00 for Bahia.
What was the final score of Atletico Mineiro vs Bahia?
Atletico Mineiro 3-0 Bahia in the Brazil - Serie A on 06/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Mineiro vs Bahia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Atletico Mineiro 51%, draw 25%, Bahia 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Mineiro), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.