Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Botafogo v Vasco da Gama — Team-Based Signals
Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Botafogo
BR1
2-0
HT 0-0
Vasco da Gama
BR1
Botafogo 1-1 Vasco da Gama — Actual Match Statistics
Botafogo and Vasco da Gama shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match lean was Botafogo at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Botafogo had 57% of the ball to Vasco da Gama's 43%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 1.96 to 1.37.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botafogo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Botafogo and 0.50 for Vasco da Gama.
What was the final score of Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama?
Botafogo 1-1 Vasco da Gama in the Brazil - Cup on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama?
Before kick-off our model rated a Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Botafogo 52%, draw 25%, Vasco da Gama 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Botafogo), BTTS No went the other way.