Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama Prediction — Model Probabilities
Botafogo v Vasco da Gama — Team-Based Signals
Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Botafogo 1-1 Vasco da Gama — Actual Match Statistics
Botafogo and Vasco da Gama finished all square at 1-1.
This one beat our numbers. Botafogo carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 46% for over 2.5, 47% on both teams scoring.
Under the surface, Botafogo had 57% of the ball to Vasco da Gama's 43%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 1.96 to 1.37.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botafogo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Botafogo and 0.50 for Vasco da Gama.
Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama Result & Final Score
Botafogo 1 - 1 Vasco da Gama in the Brazil - Cup on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Botafogo 58%, draw 25%, Vasco da Gama 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Botafogo), BTTS No went the other way.