Cruzeiro 2-0 Atletico Mineiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 12 Sep 2025

📅12/09/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.2
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
16%
5.08
6+ Goals
8%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.27
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.55
X/1
14%
4.75
X/2
8%
6.51
X/X
17%
3.56
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
12%
5.31
2/X
8%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.2pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.1pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.3pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cruzeiro EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Mineiro EU Bookmakers 31%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.22/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.66
-41% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 79%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.4
32.2 Crosses 10.9
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cruzeiro
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Atletico Mineiro
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.87 xG 0.66
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
265 Passes 375
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.08.2025 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 0-2 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BRK
19.05.2025 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
19.01.2025 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro HAZ
11.08.2024 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
21.04.2024 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 3-0 HT 3-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
22.10.2023 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 0-1 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cruzeiro
2-0
AWAY Atletico Mineiro
2.12 xG 0.60
27% Ball Possession 73%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 10
131 Passes 468
70% Pass Accuracy 91%
13 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cruzeiro vs Atletico Mineiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cruzeiro saw off Atletico Mineiro 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cruzeiro as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Cruzeiro had 27% of the ball to Atletico Mineiro's 73%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 2.12 to 0.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruzeiro had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cruzeiro and 0.50 for Atletico Mineiro.

What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Atletico Mineiro?

Cruzeiro 2-0 Atletico Mineiro in the Brazil - Cup on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cruzeiro vs Atletico Mineiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cruzeiro win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cruzeiro 42%, draw 30%, Atletico Mineiro 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruzeiro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cruzeiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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