Flamengo vs Sao Paulo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Flamengo v Sao Paulo — Team-Based Signals
Flamengo vs Sao Paulo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Flamengo
BR1
1-1
HT 1-1
Flamengo
BRK
0-1
HT 0-1
Sao Paulo
BRK
1-1
HT 0-1
Sao Paulo
BR1
1-0
HT 1-0
Sao Paulo
BRK
1-3
HT 0-1
Flamengo
BRK
Flamengo 2-1 Sao Paulo — Actual Match Statistics
Flamengo squeezed past Sao Paulo 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Flamengo as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Flamengo had 47% of the ball to Sao Paulo's 53%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.30 to 0.69.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Flamengo and 0.83 for Sao Paulo.
What was the final score of Flamengo vs Sao Paulo?
Flamengo 2-1 Sao Paulo in the Brazil - Serie A on 18/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Flamengo vs Sao Paulo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Flamengo 42%, draw 29%, Sao Paulo 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.