Palmeiras 0-1 Internacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 18 Apr 2024

Palmeiras
0-1 HT 0-1
Internacional
📅18/04/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Palmeiras vs Internacional Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.62
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.48
6+ Goals
9%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.26
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.55
X/1
24%
3.78
X/2
10%
9.52
X/X
16%
4.33
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
8%
8.2
2/X
5%
16.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-5.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.7pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Palmeiras v Internacional — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palmeiras EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Internacional EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +9%
1.65/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.50
+3% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +17%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
379 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 77%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
24.0 Crosses 14.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7

Palmeiras vs Internacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palmeiras
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Internacional
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.71 xG 1.09
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
298 Passes 354
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.11.2023 Palmeiras Palmeiras 3-0 HT 1-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
17.07.2023 Internacional Internacional 0-0 HT 0-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
13.11.2022 Internacional Internacional 3-0 HT 2-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
24.07.2022 Palmeiras Palmeiras 2-1 HT 1-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
17.10.2021 Palmeiras Palmeiras 1-0 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
01.07.2021 Internacional Internacional 1-2 HT 0-1 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1

Palmeiras 0-1 Internacional — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palmeiras
0-1
AWAY Internacional
1.45 xG 1.12
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
392 Passes 199
83% Pass Accuracy 69%
23 Box Touches 11
27 Crosses 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Palmeiras vs Internacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Internacional edged past Palmeiras 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Palmeiras at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Palmeiras had 63% of the ball to Internacional's 37%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 1.45 to 1.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Palmeiras and 0.83 for Internacional.

What was the final score of Palmeiras vs Internacional?

Palmeiras 0-1 Internacional in the Brazil - Serie A on 18/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palmeiras vs Internacional?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Palmeiras 51%, draw 27%, Internacional 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Palmeiras) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Palmeiras) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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