Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gremio v Atletico Paranaense — Team-Based Signals
Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Atletico Paranaense
BR1
1-2
HT 1-1
Gremio
BR1
4-2
HT 2-0
Gremio
BR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Atletico Paranaense
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Atletico Paranaense
BR1
1-2
HT 1-0
Gremio
BR1
Gremio 2-0 Atletico Paranaense — Actual Match Statistics
Gremio beat Atletico Paranaense 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Gremio as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Gremio had 48% of the ball to Atletico Paranaense's 52%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 1.13 to 0.17.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gremio and 1.50 for Atletico Paranaense.
What was the final score of Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense?
Gremio 2-0 Atletico Paranaense in the Brazil - Serie A on 18/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gremio win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gremio 42%, draw 25%, Atletico Paranaense 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gremio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.