Bragantino vs Vasco da Gama Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bragantino v Vasco da Gama — Team-Based Signals
Bragantino vs Vasco da Gama Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Bragantino
BR1
Vasco da Gama
BR1
Vasco da Gama
BR1
1-1
HT 0-0
Bragantino
BR1
Vasco da Gama
BR2
2-1
HT 0-1
Bragantino
BR2
Bragantino 2-1 Vasco da Gama — Actual Match Statistics
Bragantino edged past Vasco da Gama 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bragantino as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Bragantino had 40% of the ball to Vasco da Gama's 60%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 0.95 to 1.19.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vasco da Gama led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bragantino and 1.50 for Vasco da Gama.
What was the final score of Bragantino vs Vasco da Gama?
Bragantino 2-1 Vasco da Gama in the Brazil - Serie A on 18/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bragantino vs Vasco da Gama?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bragantino win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Bragantino 51%, draw 28%, Vasco da Gama 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bragantino) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.