Sao Paulo vs Flamengo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sao Paulo v Flamengo — Team-Based Signals
Sao Paulo vs Flamengo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Flamengo
BR1
1-1
HT 1-1
Flamengo
BRK
0-1
HT 0-1
Sao Paulo
BRK
1-1
HT 0-1
Sao Paulo
BR1
1-0
HT 1-0
Sao Paulo
BRK
Sao Paulo 1-0 Flamengo — Actual Match Statistics
Sao Paulo edged past Flamengo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Sao Paulo made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.
On the day, Sao Paulo had 59% of the ball to Flamengo's 41%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.42 to 0.30.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sao Paulo and 0.83 for Flamengo.
What was the final score of Sao Paulo vs Flamengo?
Sao Paulo 1-0 Flamengo in the Brazil - Serie A on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sao Paulo vs Flamengo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Paulo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sao Paulo 40%, draw 29%, Flamengo 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sao Paulo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.