Criciuma vs Atletico Mineiro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Criciuma v Atletico Mineiro — Team-Based Signals
Criciuma vs Atletico Mineiro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-1
Atletico Mineiro
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Criciuma
BR1
1-1
HT 1-1
Atletico Mineiro
BR1
3-2
HT 1-1
Criciuma
BR1
2-2
HT 1-1
Criciuma
BR1
Criciuma 2-1 Atletico Mineiro — Actual Match Statistics
Criciuma nicked a narrow win over Atletico Mineiro 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Atletico Mineiro at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Criciuma had 27% of the ball to Atletico Mineiro's 73%, shots finished 13-19, expected goals 1.70 to 1.35.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Criciuma and 1.33 for Atletico Mineiro.
What was the final score of Criciuma vs Atletico Mineiro?
Criciuma 2-1 Atletico Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Criciuma vs Atletico Mineiro?
Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Criciuma 26%, draw 26%, Atletico Mineiro 48%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.