Corinthians 1-1 Juventude — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 4 Aug 2024

Corinthians
1-1 HT 0-1
Juventude
📅04/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Corinthians vs Juventude Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.89
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.04
6+ Goals
9%
18.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.89 — our 33% vs market 28.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.12
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
15.8
X/1
19%
3.73
X/2
10%
10.4
X/X
9%
4.66
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
10%
8.83
2/X
6%
16.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-7.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.0pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Corinthians v Juventude — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Corinthians EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventude EU Bookmakers 21%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -10%
1.47/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.64
+14% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
22.9 Crosses 16.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.1

Corinthians vs Juventude Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Corinthians
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Juventude
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.75 xG 1.29
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
491 Passes 322
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.04.2024 Juventude Juventude 2-0 HT 0-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
05.10.2022 Juventude Juventude 2-2 HT 0-1 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
11.06.2022 Corinthians Corinthians 2-0 HT 1-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
10.12.2021 Juventude Juventude 1-0 HT 0-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
08.09.2021 Corinthians Corinthians 1-1 HT 0-1 Juventude Juventude BR1
13.11.2008 Juventude Juventude 1-2 HT 0-1 Corinthians Corinthians BR2

Corinthians 1-1 Juventude — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Corinthians
1-1
AWAY Juventude
2.37 xG 0.74
64% Ball Possession 36%
34 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 3
362 Passes 163
84% Pass Accuracy 65%
54 Box Touches 12
34 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Corinthians vs Juventude
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Corinthians and Juventude couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Corinthians at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Corinthians had 64% of the ball to Juventude's 36%, shots finished 34-6, expected goals 2.37 to 0.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Corinthians and 1.17 for Juventude.

What was the final score of Corinthians vs Juventude?

Corinthians 1-1 Juventude in the Brazil - Serie A on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Corinthians vs Juventude?

Before kick-off our model rated a Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Corinthians 49%, draw 24%, Juventude 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Corinthians), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Corinthians) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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