Fluminense vs Bahia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fluminense v Bahia — Team-Based Signals
Fluminense vs Bahia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Fluminense
BR1
2-1
HT 0-1
Bahia
BR1
2-0
HT 2-0
Fluminense
BR1
2-0
HT 1-0
Bahia
BR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Fluminense
BR1
Fluminense 1-0 Bahia — Actual Match Statistics
Fluminense nicked a narrow win over Bahia 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Fluminense as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.
On the day, Fluminense had 49% of the ball to Bahia's 51%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.06 to 1.73 — the balance of chances actually favoured Bahia.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fluminense and 1.00 for Bahia.
What was the final score of Fluminense vs Bahia?
Fluminense 1-0 Bahia in the Brazil - Serie A on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fluminense vs Bahia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fluminense win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Fluminense 44%, draw 25%, Bahia 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fluminense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.