Atletico Goianiense 1-4 Botafogo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.48
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
4.79
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+1.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-2.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.0pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Goianiense EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Botafogo EU Bookmakers 42%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +15%
1.21/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.24
-20% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 80%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
22.9 Crosses 19.2
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Goianiense
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Botafogo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.21 xG 1.19
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
292 Passes 375
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2024 Botafogo Botafogo 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR1
14.08.2022 Botafogo Botafogo 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR1
25.04.2022 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 1-1 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
20.01.2021 Botafogo Botafogo 1-3 HT 0-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR1
28.09.2020 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 1-1 HT 0-1 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
17.11.2017 Botafogo Botafogo 1-2 HT 1-1 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Goianiense
1-4
AWAY Botafogo
1.25 xG 3.09
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 7
243 Passes 266
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Goianiense vs Botafogo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botafogo cruised past Atletico Goianiense 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Botafogo made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Goianiense had 48% of the ball to Botafogo's 52%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.25 to 3.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Goianiense had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atletico Goianiense and 0.83 for Botafogo.

What was the final score of Atletico Goianiense vs Botafogo?

Atletico Goianiense 1-4 Botafogo in the Brazil - Serie A on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Goianiense vs Botafogo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Goianiense win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Atletico Goianiense 36%, draw 29%, Botafogo 35%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Goianiense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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