Flamengo vs Sao Paulo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Flamengo v Sao Paulo — Team-Based Signals
Flamengo vs Sao Paulo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Flamengo
BR1
1-1
HT 1-1
Flamengo
BRK
0-1
HT 0-1
Sao Paulo
BRK
Flamengo 2-0 Sao Paulo — Actual Match Statistics
Flamengo saw off Sao Paulo 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Flamengo as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
On the day, Flamengo had 61% of the ball to Sao Paulo's 39%, shots finished 22-6, expected goals 1.30 to 0.22.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sao Paulo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Flamengo and 0.83 for Sao Paulo.
What was the final score of Flamengo vs Sao Paulo?
Flamengo 2-0 Sao Paulo in the Brazil - Serie A on 12/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Flamengo vs Sao Paulo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Flamengo 59%, draw 24%, Sao Paulo 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.