Internacional 1-0 Vitoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 12 Jul 2025

📅12/07/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.67
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
19%
4.64
6+ Goals
9%
24.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.03
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
17.0
X/1
17%
3.84
X/2
6%
11.65
X/X
9%
4.59
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
9%
10.8
2/X
11%
19.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
60%
-8.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.1pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Internacional EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitoria EU Bookmakers 19%
-3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +20%
1.94/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.07
+14% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
374 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 77%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
22.8 Crosses 18.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Internacional
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Vitoria
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.72 xG 0.85
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
437 Passes 260
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.09.2024 Internacional Internacional 3-1 HT 1-0 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
16.06.2024 Vitoria Vitoria 2-1 HT 1-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
11.06.2021 Internacional Internacional 1-3 HT 0-0 Vitoria Vitoria BRK
04.06.2021 Vitoria Vitoria 0-1 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BRK
30.09.2018 Internacional Internacional 2-1 HT 0-1 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
31.05.2018 Vitoria Vitoria 2-3 HT 1-2 Internacional Internacional BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Internacional
1-0
AWAY Vitoria
1.90 xG 0.73
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
544 Passes 282
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
31 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Internacional vs Vitoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Internacional nicked a narrow win over Vitoria 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Internacional as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Internacional had 63% of the ball to Vitoria's 37%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 1.90 to 0.73.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Internacional had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Internacional and 1.50 for Vitoria.

What was the final score of Internacional vs Vitoria?

Internacional 1-0 Vitoria in the Brazil - Serie A on 12/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Internacional vs Vitoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Internacional win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Internacional 51%, draw 27%, Vitoria 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Internacional), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Internacional) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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