Vitoria 2-1 Internacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 16 Jun 2024

Vitoria
2-1 HT 1-0
Internacional
📅16/06/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Vitoria vs Internacional Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
26%
2.83
Away
39%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.44
Over 2.5
42%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.06
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
18%
6.3
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.02
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.45
X/1
12%
5.08
X/2
13%
5.48
X/X
14%
3.3
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
17%
4.47
2/X
7%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.1pp
27%
Draw
32%
-5.2pp
39%
Away Win
32%
+6.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
66%
-7.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
34%
+7.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.3pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vitoria v Internacional — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitoria EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Internacional EU Bookmakers 36%
-13% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +21%
1.27/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.30
-22% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +25%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
23.7 Crosses 15.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.2

Vitoria vs Internacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitoria
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Internacional
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.69 xG 1.66
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
275 Passes 403
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.06.2021 Internacional Internacional 1-3 HT 0-0 Vitoria Vitoria BRK
04.06.2021 Vitoria Vitoria 0-1 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BRK
30.09.2018 Internacional Internacional 2-1 HT 0-1 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
31.05.2018 Vitoria Vitoria 2-3 HT 1-2 Internacional Internacional BR1
20.04.2018 Vitoria Vitoria 1-0 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BRK
12.04.2018 Internacional Internacional 2-1 HT 1-1 Vitoria Vitoria BRK

Vitoria 2-1 Internacional — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitoria
2-1
AWAY Internacional
1.48 xG 1.22
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
265 Passes 457
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Vitoria vs Internacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitoria edged past Internacional 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Vitoria found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vitoria had 39% of the ball to Internacional's 61%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 1.48 to 1.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Internacional led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Vitoria and 1.50 for Internacional.

What was the final score of Vitoria vs Internacional?

Vitoria 2-1 Internacional in the Brazil - Serie A on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitoria vs Internacional?

Before kick-off our model rated an Internacional win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Vitoria 35%, draw 27%, Internacional 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Internacional) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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