Corinthians vs Sao Paulo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Corinthians v Sao Paulo — Team-Based Signals
Corinthians vs Sao Paulo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Corinthians
BR1
2-0
HT 2-0
Corinthians
BRK
2-1
HT 0-0
Sao Paulo
BRK
1-1
HT 1-1
Sao Paulo
BR1
1-2
HT 0-2
Corinthians
BREPAU
1-1
HT 1-1
Corinthians
BR1
Corinthians 2-2 Sao Paulo — Actual Match Statistics
Corinthians and Sao Paulo shared the points in a 2-2 draw.
Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Corinthians had 40% of the ball to Sao Paulo's 60%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.02 to 0.99.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Corinthians and 1.33 for Sao Paulo.
What was the final score of Corinthians vs Sao Paulo?
Corinthians 2-2 Sao Paulo in the Brazil - Serie A on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Corinthians vs Sao Paulo?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sao Paulo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Corinthians 31%, draw 29%, Sao Paulo 40%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.