Atletico Paranaense 1-1 Flamengo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 16 Jun 2024

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.67
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.41
6+ Goals
10%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.0pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.4pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.7pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Paranaense EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Flamengo EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.57/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.15
+16% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
312 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
21.1 Crosses 15.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Paranaense
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Flamengo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.13 xG 1.23
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
237 Passes 478
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2023 Flamengo Flamengo 0-3 HT 0-1 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
13.07.2023 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 0-2 HT 0-1 Flamengo Flamengo BRK
06.07.2023 Flamengo Flamengo 2-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BRK
07.05.2023 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 2-1 HT 1-1 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
29.10.2022 Flamengo Flamengo 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense LKU
18.08.2022 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 0-1 HT 0-0 Flamengo Flamengo BRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Paranaense
1-1
AWAY Flamengo
1.79 xG 0.57
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
309 Passes 329
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Paranaense vs Flamengo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Paranaense and Flamengo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Atletico Paranaense had 48% of the ball to Flamengo's 52%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.79 to 0.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atletico Paranaense and 1.17 for Flamengo.

What was the final score of Atletico Paranaense vs Flamengo?

Atletico Paranaense 1-1 Flamengo in the Brazil - Serie A on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Paranaense vs Flamengo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Paranaense win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Atletico Paranaense 38%, draw 28%, Flamengo 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atletico Paranaense), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Paranaense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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