Fluminense 1-2 Atletico Goianiense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 16 Jun 2024

Fluminense
1-2 HT 1-0
Atletico Goianiense
📅16/06/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Fluminense vs Atletico Goianiense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.92
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.0
6+ Goals
10%
18.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.56
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.2
X/1
17%
4.15
X/2
9%
7.9
X/X
10%
4.44
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
15%
6.29
2/X
8%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-5.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fluminense v Atletico Goianiense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fluminense EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Goianiense EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -3%
1.43/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.33
+2% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +27%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
405 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 79%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
21.2 Crosses 17.6
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8

Fluminense vs Atletico Goianiense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fluminense
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Atletico Goianiense
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.17 xG 1.80
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
354 Passes 312
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
06.10.2022 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 3-2 HT 1-2 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
12.06.2022 Fluminense Fluminense 0-2 HT 0-2 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR1
09.10.2021 Fluminense Fluminense 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR1
24.06.2021 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 1-0 HT 0-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
17.12.2020 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 2-1 HT 1-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
25.09.2020 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 3-1 HT 1-1 Fluminense Fluminense BRK

Fluminense 1-2 Atletico Goianiense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fluminense
1-2
AWAY Atletico Goianiense
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
471 Passes 340
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
POST-MATCH Fluminense vs Atletico Goianiense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Goianiense squeezed past Fluminense 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Fluminense at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Fluminense had 56% of the ball to Atletico Goianiense's 44%, shots finished 9-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Goianiense led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Fluminense and 1.83 for Atletico Goianiense.

What was the final score of Fluminense vs Atletico Goianiense?

Fluminense 1-2 Atletico Goianiense in the Brazil - Serie A on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fluminense vs Atletico Goianiense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fluminense win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Fluminense 44%, draw 26%, Atletico Goianiense 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fluminense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fluminense) ✓ BTTS Yes
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