Internacional 1-2 Mirassol FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 19 Apr 2026

📅19/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.71
Over 2.5
51%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.74
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.94
6+ Goals
9%
18.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.62
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.8
X/1
21%
4.37
X/2
8%
7.63
X/X
14%
4.38
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
26.0
2/2
10%
6.16
2/X
6%
14.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.0 — our 7% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
49%
+2.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-1.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
55%
-5.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
45%
+5.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.7pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Internacional EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Mirassol FC EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.71/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.48
-23% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
377 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.1
23.2 Crosses 21.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Internacional
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Mirassol FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.95 xG 1.84
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
440 Passes 344
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
16.10.2025 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 3-1 HT 2-1 Internacional Internacional BR1
19.05.2025 Internacional Internacional 1-1 HT 0-1 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Internacional
1-2
AWAY Mirassol FC
1.69 xG 1.85
72% Ball Possession 28%
25 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 2
551 Passes 174
88% Pass Accuracy 71%
55 Box Touches 14
48 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Internacional vs Mirassol FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mirassol FC squeezed past Internacional 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Internacional at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Internacional had 72% of the ball to Mirassol FC's 28%, shots finished 25-10, expected goals 1.69 to 1.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mirassol FC led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Internacional and 2.00 for Mirassol FC.

What was the final score of Internacional vs Mirassol FC?

Internacional 1-2 Mirassol FC in the Brazil - Serie A on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Internacional vs Mirassol FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Internacional win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Internacional 51%, draw 25%, Mirassol FC 23%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Internacional) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Internacional) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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