Santos vs Fluminense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Santos v Fluminense — Team-Based Signals
Santos vs Fluminense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-2
Fluminense
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Santos
BR1
2-2
HT 1-0
Fluminense
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Santos
BR1
Santos 2-3 Fluminense — Actual Match Statistics
Fluminense squeezed past Santos 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Santos at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Santos had 47% of the ball to Fluminense's 53%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 1.20 to 0.80.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fluminense led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Santos and 1.17 for Fluminense.
What was the final score of Santos vs Fluminense?
Santos 2-3 Fluminense in the Brazil - Serie A on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Santos vs Fluminense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Santos win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Santos 47%, draw 24%, Fluminense 29%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Santos), Under 2.5 went the other way.