Santos vs Fluminense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Santos v Fluminense — Team-Based Signals
Santos vs Fluminense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Santos 2-3 Fluminense — Actual Match Statistics
Fluminense shaded a tight game against Santos 3-2 on the road. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.
A gentle 44% lean on Santos didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 46% for over 2.5, 51% on both teams scoring.
Under the surface, Fluminense saw more of the ball, 53% to 47%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 1.20 to 0.80.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fluminense led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.33 a game for Santos against 1.17 for Fluminense.
Santos vs Fluminense Result & Final Score
Santos 2 - 3 Fluminense in the Brazil - Serie A on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Santos vs Fluminense Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Santos win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Santos 44%, draw 29%, Fluminense 27%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Santos), Under 2.5 went the other way.