Coritiba 2-0 Atletico Mineiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 19 Apr 2026

Coritiba
2-0 HT 1-0
Atletico Mineiro
📅19/04/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2026

Coritiba vs Atletico Mineiro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.49
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.39
6+ Goals
8%
23.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.49 — our 36% vs market 32.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
3.21
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
10%
4.84
X/2
10%
6.47
X/X
11%
3.91
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
15%
5.04
2/X
6%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.7pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.5pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.1pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Coritiba v Atletico Mineiro — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coritiba EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Mineiro EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -29%
1.25/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.21
-33% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -7%
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
279 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 81%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
21.6 Crosses 18.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3

Coritiba vs Atletico Mineiro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coritiba
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Atletico Mineiro
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.09 xG 1.86
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
282 Passes 504
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
13 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
09.10.2023 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 1-2 HT 0-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR1
21.05.2023 Coritiba Coritiba 1-2 HT 1-1 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
14.08.2022 Coritiba Coritiba 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
24.04.2022 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 2-2 HT 2-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR1
26.12.2020 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 2-0 HT 0-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR1
07.09.2020 Coritiba Coritiba 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1

Coritiba 2-0 Atletico Mineiro — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coritiba
2-0
AWAY Atletico Mineiro
1.01 xG 1.29
23% Ball Possession 77%
2 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
129 Passes 576
65% Pass Accuracy 90%
9 Box Touches 31
3 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Coritiba vs Atletico Mineiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coritiba got the better of Atletico Mineiro 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Coritiba as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Coritiba had 23% of the ball to Atletico Mineiro's 77%, shots finished 2-23, expected goals 1.01 to 1.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Mineiro led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Coritiba and 1.50 for Atletico Mineiro.

What was the final score of Coritiba vs Atletico Mineiro?

Coritiba 2-0 Atletico Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coritiba vs Atletico Mineiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coritiba win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Coritiba 44%, draw 25%, Atletico Mineiro 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coritiba), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Coritiba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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